Quote:
Originally Posted by frogspawner
I'd say a more common case would be 75% v 25% - and the 75% thief really should be assured of getting by the 25% guard, fairly reliably...
(Anyone care to do the maths?)
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Well, the simply math- baring specials and crticals, and fumbles is.
Thief success, guard fails: 56.25%
Guard Succeeds, Thief Fails: 06.25%
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Both fail: 18.75%
Both Succeed: 18.75%, since anything under 25 would be 50-50 and anything other is all thief is break down to about 12.49% thief, 6.26% guard)
Note that if low roll wind on failures this flip-flops the roll high probability, since it would be the exact opposite as the both succeed.
So it would be 75 vs. 25-not counting specials and criticals.
Now if you used low roll wins, it would be the same breakdown. What the high skill looses on tied success he gains on tied failures.
Toss in crtricals and specials and they bump the results slightly more in the favor if the 75% guy. Since the 75% guy has a 2-1 advance there to, it would end up closer to 78% vs 22%